NFL Thanksgiving odds, how to watch, streaming: expert picks, best bets, teasers, survivor picks and more

How about a little football with your Thanksgiving dinner? The NFL has a triple-header on deck for Thursday break, offering some playoff hopefuls and Super Bowl threats. In fact, the .650 winning percentage between these teams is the second highest since the Thanksgiving league has expanded to three games. Five of the six teams playing on Thanksgiving also have a winning record, which is tied with the major league.

As we do every week for the entire series, we’ve rounded up all of the best Thanksgiving picks and betting content from CBSSports.com and SportsLine and put them all in one place so you can make picks against the spread of our CBS Sports experts as well as additional featured content for every game, including plays from top SportsLine experts and the SportsLine projection model, our staff’s best bets, survivor picks, and more.

All NFL odds through Caesars Sportsbook.

What choices can you make with confidence in week 12? And which Super Bowl contender goes down hard? Visit SportsLine as the incredible model simulates every NFL game 10,000 times and is almost done $7,000 for $100 players on the highest-rated NFL picks since the beginning.

Time: Thursday, 12:30 p.m. ET (CBS), stream on Paramount+ (click here)
Open: Bills -10
Current: Accounts -9.5

Recommended game | Detroit Lions vs Buffalo Bills

“This has the makings of a game with a lot of attack. Both teams can score, but the Bills can really score. They’ll put up a big number here, as Josh Allen wins a second game in a row in Detroit after beating the Browns last week defeated. in the same building. The track is fast and the Bills can fly. The Lions can’t keep up.” — Pete Prisco, CBS Sports Senior NFL Analysthas the Bills covering the spread of 9.5 points and makes this game well exceed the total of 54.5.

“The Lions have been rolling for the past few weeks, but I’m just struggling to bet against Josh Allen with this line below double digits. Yes, Detroit’s defense has played better in the last three games, but that was against the Packers , Bears and Giants. Buffalo’s offense is a completely different animal. Allen has historically played well on Thanksgiving, as the Bills are 2-0 SU in both games and the QB recorded a score of over 100 passers in every game. Although I believe Buffalo’s 1930s offense indoors at Ford Field I don’t see the Lions doing that in this setting I have my doubts in particular because of the protection for Jared Goff Detroit ranks as the 24th ranked pass-blocking team in the NFL this season, according to Pro Football Focus. Meanwhile, Buffalo is the third-best pass rushing team in the league by the same rating system.” — Tyler Sullivan of CBS Sports about why he considers the -9.5 bills one of his best bets for Week 12.

“Allen has really only crossed this line once in the last four games, but I think he’s hitting the Over here against a poor defense. The star quarterback is averaging 293 passing yards per game in his career this season.” — CBS Sports NFL gambling guru Jordan Dajani about why it’s nice that Josh Allen tops his 281.5 passing yards prop at -127.

“On paper, this feels like a game the Lions have zero chance of winning, but if I’ve learned one thing in my life about choosing NFL games, it’s that teams always seem to win when you think they have no chance of winning, especially when coached by a guy whose most famous quote is “bite your kneecaps off. I have no idea what Dan Campbell eats at home on Thanksgiving Day, but there’s a 50% chance it’s kneecaps.”

“The big problem in this game for the Lions is that they have one of the worst defenses in the NFL this year and they’re going to play a Bills offense that has been one of the best. The Lions have the most yards per game and the most points per game and that’s definitely not a good combination if the team you’re playing is second in both points scored and yards per game.

“Had this game been played four weeks ago I probably would have picked the Bills with 30, but the Lions are suddenly one of the hottest teams in football. When you combine that with the Bills being in a light offensive rut, that is the recipe for a game that could get down to the wire. I told you we’d be talking about recipes.” — CBS Sports NFL writer and Pick Six Podcast co-host John Breech on why he chooses the Bills to narrowly beat the Lions, 30-27.

Time: Thursday, 4:30 PM ET (Fox), stream on fuboTV (free trial)
Open: Cowboys-7
Current: Cowboys-9

Recommended game | Dallas Cowboys vs New York Giants

“This has the hallmarks of a Cowboys loss, almost in the same way as Dallas’ 40-3 win over Minnesota just a few days ago. New York showed some cracks in the base in the loss to Detroit, losing several key contributors including top cornerback Adoree “Jackson. That should keep the Cowboys’ offense humming, but it’s their defense that could really throw the game out. The Giants allow the second highest pressure this season (45%) in the NFL, while the Cowboys put the most pressure on opposing quarterbacks in the league.In Week 3, Dallas pressured Daniel Jones 27 times for the win, which is the third most game this season.With the Giants as scared as they are and Dallas if they play at championship level they win this by double digits.” — CBS Sports NFL Writer Tyler Sullivan about why he’s bringing Dallas to cover against New York as one of his five locks of the week.

The SportsLine projection model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, enters week 12 of the 2022 NFL season with an incredible 155-109 run on top-rated NFL picks dating back to the 2017 season. a six-legged Thanksgiving parlay that would make it nearly 50-1. One of those legs is the total of more than 45 points in the Cowboys-Giants game. For the rest you have to go to SportsLine.

“When these two teams met in Week 3, the Cowboys won 23-16 and that was with Cooper Rush. In that game, the Cowboys sacked Daniel Jones five times and picked him out once and I think we’re going to get more see the same on Thursday The Cowboys have won 10 of the past 11 games in this series and I don’t see that dominance ending this week.

“This is the first time these two teams have played on Thanksgiving since 1992. Thirty years ago, the Cowboys destroyed the Giants 30-3 and won the Super Bowl two months later. I’m not saying that’s going to happen this year, but that I do not say.” — John Breech of CBS Sports on why he likes the Cowboys beating the Giants, 31-17.

“The Giants had a terrible performance at home against the Lions, which means maybe they were looking forward to this one. The Cowboys made things right with their great win over the Vikings. The defense dominated, and it will do well here too . The Giants are too limited on offense.” — CBS Sports Senior NFL Analyst Pete Prisco says the Cowboys’ defense will again lead them to victory.

Viking patriots

Time: Thursday, 8:20 PM ET (NBC), stream on fuboTV (free trial)
Open: Vikings -3.5
Current: Vikings -3

Recommended game | Minnesota Vikings vs New England Patriots

The SportsLine projection model simulated NFL Thanksgiving Day games 10,000 times and examined dozens of player props from Caesar’s Sportsbook. We can tell you that the model says Vikings WR Jefferson goes over 88.5 receiving yards (-117), while the model projects him to finish with 99 on average. However, the model also says that another star flies over his yardage total and offers one prop with a plus money payout. Go to SportsLine to see what those are.

Now, this is the most intriguing Thanksgiving game to me. The last time the Patriots played on Thanksgiving, they defeated the New York Jets 49-19 in the “Butt Fumble” matchup. Speaking of beating the Jets, that is what the Patriots did last week on an 84-yard punt return touchdown with only five seconds left in the fourth quarter They seemed like the better team all afternoon but it took them an incredible amount of time to prove it I thought Mac Jones was fine. He completed 23 of 27 passes for 246 yards, which is the highest completion percentage Jones has had this season (85.2%). Wind played a part in this game, but the defense was excellent. They sacked Zach Wilson four times and only allowed 103 yards When ranking the teams vying for wild card spots in the AFC, I actually have the Patriots at number 2.

As for the Vikings, yes, that 40-3 loss to the Cowboys will take some time to get over. Still, they can take a page out of the Cowboys’ book and force everyone to forget it with a dominant win. on Thanksgiving Even with Dalvin Cook and Justin Jefferson I can’t help but be impressed with the New England defense This unit has conceded just 7.7 points per game over the past three games and allows a 19 percent conversion rate at third downs during that same span The Patriots have the second highest allowable pressure percentage in the NFL this season while the Vikings have the fifth highest allowable pressure percentage I’ll say of the three Thanksgiving games I’m least confident in this one when it comes to choosing a side. I’ll surprise the Patriots here, and I love the Over.” Jordan Dajani of CBS Sports smells upset in Minnesota as the Patriots defeated SU the Vikings in the Thanksgiving Finals, reaching the Over at the same time.

RJ White, a fantasy and gambling editor for CBS Sports, is consistently smashed as SportsLine’s No. 1 NFL pundit. In addition to owning a 445-378-24 on his 2017-21 ATS picks, he was particularly sharp when it comes to the Vikings. On his last 84 picks involving Minnesota, White has gone 52-28-4 (+$2,053), so you’ll definitely want to know what he’s leaning on Thursday night. To see that choice, go to SportsLine.

“The Vikings were embarrassed at home on Sunday and were blown away by the Cowboys. They will bounce back and play better here. The New England offense is struggling, but the defense is playing well. Still, I think the Vikings will respond offensively.” in this one to win it. The Patriots offense is bad. ‘ — CBS Sports Senior NFL Analyst Pete Prisco about why he’s taking the Vikings to beat New England 10 in the Thanksgiving Finals.

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